armb: Dog jumping in water (Default)
[personal profile] armb
A neat interactive demonstration from the BBC:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/election_2010/8609989.stm

With the three main parties getting equal shares of the votes, Labour very nearly have a majority of the seats. (Though there are clearly some slightly strange assumptions at the limits, because "Other" still get 24 seats if you set their share to 0.0%, and Northern Ireland only explains 18 of them.)

(via http://www.boingboing.net/2010/04/19/lib-dems-soar-in-uk.html)

(no subject)

Date: 2010-04-21 04:54 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] armb.livejournal.com
My objection was that logically if the model has some seats which (realistically) stay PC/SNP, then it shouldn't let you (unrealistically) drop "Other" to zero, and vice versa.
But that's a detail, and the whole thing is an approximation, obviously. (That doesn't make it foolish, it would just be foolish to read more into it than is there.)

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